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![Portrait of Jordan Bardella]()
National Rally (RN)
Far right
Jordan Bardella
President of the RN, Member of the European Parliament, aged 31
Not a candidate: possible replacement for Marine Le Pen
7.2/10
Overall score
4th out of 16
+Strengths
- Polled at 32 to 36% in the first round in spring 2026
- Very popular with young people and on social media
- Party president, an image of renewal
−Weaknesses
- No longer a candidate since Marine Le Pen declared
- No government or executive experience
- Contested by some officials close to Marine Le Pen
Chances in our scenarios
| Scenario | Reaches the run-off | Wins the election |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bardella instead of Marine Le Pen | more than 99% | 86% |
Profile
What the scores measure
- Experience
- Offices held, government roles, knowledge of the State
- Name recognition
- How well known they are to the public
- Communication
- Media skills, debating, social media presence
- Polls
- First-round voting intentions in October 2026, and their trend
- Reach
- Ability to win votes beyond their own camp in the run-off
- Party machine
- Party strength: activists, elected officials, funding