34.8%+0.4 pt in 3 months
52 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
The polls since 2025
60 first-round polls (257 candidacy scenarios) and 106 run-off match-ups, published from 26 March 2025 to 22 October 2026. Each dot is a poll; the line is the smoothed average.
Data updated on 29 October 2026 · polls re-read from Wikipedia nightly, scenario model recalibrated at each publication
Everyone on one chart
The smoothed average of each tracked contender's voting intentions, since the first polls.
First round
Each contender's voting intentions, as a share of votes cast. The average covers polls from the last 30 days; the trend compares the smoothed line with three months ago.
Not tested since 24 June 2026
22 polls
16.9%+1.2 pt in 3 months
60 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
15.2%−2.6 pts in 3 months
59 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
12.8%+1.8 pt in 3 months
57 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
9.2%−2.7 pts in 3 months
52 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
7.8%−0.7 pt in 3 months
59 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
4.1%+0.4 pt in 3 months
59 polls, 14 of them in the last 30 days
6.3%+3.2 pts in 3 months
17 polls, 11 of them in the last 30 days
Run-off: the RN candidate against each opponent
The National Rally candidate's score in the match-ups tested, as a share of votes cast. Above the 50% line, the RN wins.
Marine Le PenJordan Bardella
54.9%for the RN
34 polls
68.1%for the RN
27 polls
56.4%for the RN
20 polls
56.3%for the RN
13 polls
The ten latest polls
When a poll tests several candidacy scenarios, the figures shown are their average. A dash means the contender was not tested.
| Pollster | Fieldwork end | Scenarios | Le Pen | Mélenchon | Philippe | Glucksmann | Attal | Retailleau | Zemmour | Lisnard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpinionWay | 22 October 2026 | 1 | 36 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Ipsos | 22 October 2026 | 4 | 33.1 | 17 | 14 | 13.9 | 6.8 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 6.5 |
| Cluster17 | 22 October 2026 | 3 | 32 | 19.2 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 12 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 8 |
| Harris | 21 October 2026 | 5 | 34.2 | 17.4 | 14.7 | 12.8 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 7.5 |
| Ifop | 19 October 2026 | 8 | 36.2 | 16.6 | 13.4 | 13.8 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 6.2 |
| Elabe | 16 October 2026 | 6 | 32.4 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 6 |
| YouGov | 15 October 2026 | 5 | 36.2 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 12.8 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 4 |
| Cluster17 | 15 October 2026 | 5 | 34.4 | 19.7 | 18.5 | 13.7 | 17 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 12 |
| OpinionWay | 14 October 2026 | 4 | 35.5 | 14.8 | 13 | 14.2 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 4 |
| Ifop | 14 October 2026 | 4 | 34.2 | 16.2 | 15 | 13.8 | 8 | 6.5 | 3 | 6 |
Source: Wikipedia (French), list of polls for the 2027 presidential election, based on the pollsters (Ifop, Harris Interactive, Odoxa, Elabe, Ipsos, OpinionWay, YouGov, Cluster17, Verian…).