Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Bruno Retailleau 49.1% 50.9% Éric Zemmour

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Bruno Retailleau	Éric Zemmour
Pensions	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).
Work and purchasing power	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).
Institutions and security	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.

Bruno RetailleauÉric Zemmour