Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Bruno Retailleau 42.2% 57.8% Marine Le Pen

Polls: 42% for Retailleau (1 poll by Ifop on 25 Aug 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Bruno Retailleau	Marine Le Pen
Pensions	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.
Work and purchasing power	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.
Institutions and security	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.

Bruno RetailleauMarine Le Pen