Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

David Lisnard 48.5% 51.5% Bruno Retailleau

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	David Lisnard	Bruno Retailleau
Pensions	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Taxes and spending	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Europe and defence	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

David LisnardBruno Retailleau