Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

David Lisnard 49% 51% Éric Zemmour

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	David Lisnard	Éric Zemmour
Pensions	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).
Taxes and spending	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).
Immigration	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.
Europe and defence	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).
Energy and climate	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.

David LisnardÉric Zemmour