Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

David Lisnard 56.2% 43.8% Gabriel Attal

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	David Lisnard	Gabriel Attal
Pensions	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Europe and defence	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.	No specific proposal known.

David LisnardGabriel Attal