Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

David Lisnard 70.5% 29.5% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	David Lisnard	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

David LisnardJean-Luc Mélenchon