Head to head
Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.
If they met in the run-off
David Lisnard 42.1%
57.9% Marine Le Pen
Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.
Their proposals
| Theme | David Lisnard | Marine Le Pen |
|---|---|---|
| Pensions | Introduce a funded component into the pension system. | Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20. |
| Work and purchasing power | No specific proposal known. | Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions. |
| Taxes and spending | Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%. | Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth. |
| Immigration | Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months. | A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits. |
| Europe and defence | Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty. | A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine. |
| Energy and climate | An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them. | A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines. |
| Institutions and security | No specific proposal known. | Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures. |
Overlaid profiles
David LisnardMarine Le Pen
Criterion by criterion
| Lisnard | Criterion | Le Pen |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Experience
|
8 |
| 4 | Name recognition
|
10 |
| 7 | Communication
|
8 |
| 3 | Polls
|
10 |
| 5 | Reach
|
7 |
| 3 | Party machine
|
9 |
| 4.8 | Overall score | 8.7 |