Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

David Lisnard 63.7% 36.3% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	David Lisnard	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.

David LisnardRaphaël Glucksmann