Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Édouard Philippe 45.9% 54.1% Marine Le Pen

Polls: 45.5% for Philippe (15 polls in the last two months, latest by OpinionWay on 22 Oct 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Their proposals

Theme	Édouard Philippe	Marine Le Pen
Pensions	Gradually raise the legal retirement age to 65 and the contribution period to 45 years, with a third of employees exempted.	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.
Work and purchasing power	Exempt two hours of overtime a week from contributions (about €1,000 more a year on the minimum wage); cap unemployment benefits at 12 months for under-50s.	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.
Taxes and spending	Replace only one civil servant in three who retire; a single family allowance of €350 a month from the first child; some twenty ordinances from July 2027.	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.
Immigration	Halve legal immigration (well under 200,000 residence permits a year); a European list of safe countries whose nationals could no longer claim asylum.	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.
Europe and defence	Reaffirmed support for Ukraine.	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.
Energy and climate	A single climate-adaptation fund of €2 billion a year.	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.

All programmes and their sources

Overlaid profiles

Édouard PhilippeMarine Le Pen

Criterion by criterion

Philippe	Criterion	Le Pen
9	Experience	8
9	Name recognition	10
7	Communication	8
6	Polls	10
7	Reach	7
6	Party machine	9
7.3	Overall score	8.7