Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Éric Zemmour 50.9% 49.1% Bruno Retailleau

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Éric Zemmour	Bruno Retailleau
Pensions	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Taxes and spending	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

Éric ZemmourBruno Retailleau