Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Éric Zemmour 51% 49% David Lisnard

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Éric Zemmour	David Lisnard
Pensions	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.
Taxes and spending	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.
Immigration	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.
Energy and climate	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.
Institutions and security	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.	No specific proposal known.

Éric ZemmourDavid Lisnard