Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Éric Zemmour 49.2% 50.8% Gabriel Attal

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Éric Zemmour	Gabriel Attal
Pensions	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.	No specific proposal known.

Éric ZemmourGabriel Attal