Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Éric Zemmour 54.8% 45.2% Marine Tondelier

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Éric Zemmour	Marine Tondelier
Pensions	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.
Taxes and spending	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.
Immigration	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.	No specific proposal known.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.
Energy and climate	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.
Institutions and security	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.	No specific proposal known.

Éric ZemmourMarine Tondelier