Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Éric Zemmour 50.3% 49.7% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Éric Zemmour	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.
Institutions and security	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.	No specific proposal known.

Éric ZemmourRaphaël Glucksmann