Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Gabriel Attal 43.7% 56.3% Bruno Retailleau

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Gabriel Attal	Bruno Retailleau
Pensions	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power	Remove tax on overtime.	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Taxes and spending	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

Gabriel AttalBruno Retailleau