Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Gabriel Attal 50.8% 49.2% Éric Zemmour

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Gabriel Attal	Éric Zemmour
Pensions	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).
Work and purchasing power	Remove tax on overtime.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).
Immigration	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.

Gabriel AttalÉric Zemmour