Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Gabriel Attal 43.7% 56.3% Marine Le Pen

Polls: 44% for Attal (7 polls in the last two months, latest by Ifop on 19 Oct 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Gabriel Attal	Marine Le Pen
Pensions	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.
Work and purchasing power	Remove tax on overtime.	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.
Taxes and spending	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.
Immigration	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.

Gabriel AttalMarine Le Pen