Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 29.5% 70.5% Bruno Retailleau

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	Bruno Retailleau
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Taxes and spending	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Europe and defence	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

Jean-Luc MélenchonBruno Retailleau