Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 29.5% 70.5% David Lisnard

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	David Lisnard
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.
Immigration	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.
Europe and defence	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.
Institutions and security	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.	No specific proposal known.

Jean-Luc MélenchonDavid Lisnard