Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 41.7% 58.3% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.
Institutions and security	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.	No specific proposal known.

Jean-Luc MélenchonRaphaël Glucksmann