Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 57.8% 42.2% Bruno Retailleau

Polls: 58% for Le Pen (1 poll by Ifop on 25 Aug 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Le Pen	Bruno Retailleau
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

Marine Le PenBruno Retailleau