Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 57.9% 42.1% David Lisnard

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Their proposals

Theme	Marine Le Pen	David Lisnard
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	No specific proposal known.

All programmes and their sources

Overlaid profiles

Marine Le PenDavid Lisnard

Criterion by criterion

Le Pen	Criterion	Lisnard
8	Experience	7
10	Name recognition	4
8	Communication	7
10	Polls	3
7	Reach	5
9	Party machine	3
8.7	Overall score	4.8