Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 56.3% 43.7% Gabriel Attal

Polls: 56% for Le Pen (7 polls in the last two months, latest by Ifop on 19 Oct 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Le Pen	Gabriel Attal
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	No specific proposal known.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	No specific proposal known.

Marine Le PenGabriel Attal