Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 67.8% 32.2% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Polls: 67.8% for Le Pen (15 polls in the last two months, latest by OpinionWay on 22 Oct 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Their proposals

Theme	Marine Le Pen	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

All programmes and their sources

Overlaid profiles

Marine Le PenJean-Luc Mélenchon

Criterion by criterion

Le Pen	Criterion	Mélenchon
8	Experience	8
10	Name recognition	10
8	Communication	9
10	Polls	7
7	Reach	2
9	Party machine	8
8.7	Overall score	7.3