Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 61.1% 38.9% Marine Tondelier

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Le Pen	Marine Tondelier
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	No specific proposal known.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	No specific proposal known.

Marine Le PenMarine Tondelier