Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Le Pen 56.4% 43.6% Raphaël Glucksmann

Polls: 56.4% for Le Pen (9 polls in the last two months, latest by OpinionWay on 22 Oct 2026).

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Their proposals

Theme	Marine Le Pen	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.
Institutions and security	Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures.	No specific proposal known.

All programmes and their sources

Overlaid profiles

Marine Le PenRaphaël Glucksmann

Criterion by criterion

Le Pen	Criterion	Glucksmann
8	Experience	4
10	Name recognition	7
8	Communication	7
10	Polls	5
7	Reach	6
9	Party machine	6
8.7	Overall score	5.8