Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Marine Tondelier 50.6% 49.4% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Marine Tondelier	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	No specific proposal known.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

Marine TondelierJean-Luc Mélenchon