Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 36.3% 63.7% David Lisnard

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	David Lisnard
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Introduce a funded component into the pension system.
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	No specific proposal known.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	Bring public spending down to about 50% of GDP in ten years; cut production taxes (scrapping the C3S and CVAE) and corporate tax from 25 to 20%.
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	Cut residence permits issued eightfold, revisit the 1968 Franco-Algerian agreement, end automatic birthright citizenship, allow administrative detention of up to 24 months.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	Negotiate a treaty to “democratise” Europe, letting a member state call a referendum when blocked on a question of sovereignty.
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	An ecology “of freedom”: the State sets environmental goals without dictating how to reach them.

Raphaël GlucksmannDavid Lisnard