Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 58.3% 41.7% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

Raphaël GlucksmannJean-Luc Mélenchon