Head to head
Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.
If they met in the run-off
Raphaël Glucksmann 43.6%
56.4% Marine Le Pen
Polls: 43.6% for Glucksmann (9 polls in the last two months, latest by OpinionWay on 22 Oct 2026).
Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.
Their proposals
| Theme | Raphaël Glucksmann | Marine Le Pen |
|---|---|---|
| Pensions | Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions. | Repeal the 2023 reform and return to 62, with retirement possible at 60 for those who started work before 20. |
| Work and purchasing power | Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more. | Cut VAT on energy from 20 to 5.5% and exempt pay rises granted by companies from social contributions. |
| Taxes and spending | The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances. | Replace the tax on real-estate wealth with a tax on financial wealth. |
| Immigration | Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law. | A referendum on immigration, an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, and national preference for jobs, housing and benefits. |
| Europe and defence | Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe. | A “Europe of nations”; leave NATO's integrated command while staying in the Alliance; limited support for Ukraine. |
| Energy and climate | Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs. | A massive relaunch of nuclear power; a moratorium on wind and solar, and gradual dismantling of wind turbines. |
| Institutions and security | No specific proposal known. | Proportional representation for legislative elections and a citizens' initiative referendum from 500,000 signatures. |
Overlaid profiles
Raphaël GlucksmannMarine Le Pen
Criterion by criterion
| Glucksmann | Criterion | Le Pen |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Experience
|
8 |
| 7 | Name recognition
|
10 |
| 7 | Communication
|
8 |
| 5 | Polls
|
10 |
| 6 | Reach
|
7 |
| 6 | Party machine
|
9 |
| 5.8 | Overall score | 8.7 |