Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Raphaël Glucksmann 71.2% 28.8% Marine Tondelier

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Raphaël Glucksmann	Marine Tondelier
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.
Work and purchasing power	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.
Taxes and spending	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.
Immigration	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.	No specific proposal known.
Europe and defence	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.
Energy and climate	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.

Raphaël GlucksmannMarine Tondelier