Le P’tit Isoloir FR

The rules

Points at the end of every month, then on the night of each round.

Your ballot is the first-round finishing order of every contender, then the run-off winner and their share of the vote. You can change it as often as you like until midnight on Saturday 17 April 2027 (Paris time), the eve of the first round.

Two moves per month

Your first ballot is free. After that, each month you can move two contenders at most compared with your ballot at the start of the month. Moving someone from 10th to 2nd counts as a single move, even if the others shift down one place. The counter resets on the 1st of each month. The run-off winner and their share stay free.

The overall ranking, out of 100 points

Half the points are played at the end of each month, the other half on election night: a quarter in the first round, a quarter in the run-off. Example: an average of 80 out of 100 in the rounds, 60 in the first round and 100 in the run-off give 40 + 15 + 25 = 80 points.

The end-of-month rounds

  • 31 October 2026
  • 30 November 2026
  • 31 December 2026
  • 31 January 2027
  • 28 February 2027
  • 31 March 2027

On each of these evenings, your ballot is compared with the day's estimate, the polling average the site recalculates every day. Each round is scored out of 100; your “rounds” share is the average of all the rounds played so far. Without a ballot at the end of a month, that round scores 0.

How a score out of 100 works

  • 3ptsThe right placeFor each candidate placed exactly at their rank.
  • 1ptOne place offFor each candidate placed just above or just below.
  • 10ptsA qualifier foundFor each of the top two found in your top two, in any order.
  • 20ptsThe right winnerIn the real run-off, if your winner is elected.
  • +10ptsThe closest shareWinner's share within 1 point: +10; within 3 points: +5; within 5 points: +2.

A round and the real first round are scored with the first three lines, the run-off with the last two. The total is brought back to 100: 100 is the perfect order, or the right winner within one point. On a tie, the player who found more qualifiers ranks higher.

Today's estimate

The site's “Current landscape” scenario, based on the polls as of 29 October 2026. Contenders who are not in it don't count in a round, so it's best to keep them at the bottom of your ballot until they are polled.

  1. 1Marine Le Pen33.2%
  2. 2Jean-Luc Mélenchon15.3%
  3. 3Édouard Philippe12.4%
  4. 4Raphaël Glucksmann10.8%
  5. 5Bruno Retailleau6.3%
  6. 6Gabriel Attal5.9%
  7. 7Éric Zemmour4%
  8. 8David Lisnard4%
  9. 9Marine Tondelier2.8%
  10. 10Fabien Roussel1.9%
  11. 11Nicolas Dupont-Aignan1.8%
  12. 12Nathalie Arthaud0.6%

Projected run-off: Marine Le Pen wins with 67.8%.

Leagues

Create a league: you choose its name, the site gives it a six-character code. Your friends join with that name and code. Your ballot counts in all your leagues at once, with the same scoring.

A league holds up to 300 players, and each player can be in up to 50 leagues.

Your account

A nickname and a password are all you need. One account per internet connection: to prevent mass sign-ups, your account keeps a fingerprint of your IP address (never the address itself), which is deleted along with it. Account recovery isn't available yet: keep your password safe.

Your nickname and ballot are visible to your league members and in the overall ranking. You can delete your account at any time from your voter card.

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