← All candidates
Portrait of Bruno Retailleau
The Republicans (LR)

Right

Bruno Retailleau

President of LR, former Interior Minister, aged 65

Chosen by LR members on 19 April 2026

6.2/10

Overall score
6th out of 16

Experience 8
Name recognition 7
Communication 6
Polls 4
Reach 5
Party machine 7

+Strengths

  • Official candidate of The Republicans
  • Clear line on security and immigration
  • Long parliamentary and ministerial experience

−Weaknesses

  • 5 to 10% depending on the poll scenario
  • Narrow space between the RN and the centrist bloc
  • Loses to Le Pen in the polls (42 to 58%)

In the polls

7.8% on average over the last 30 days, −0.7 pt in three months.

0 10 20 30 40 Jul 25 Jan 26 Jul 26 Ifop, 26 March 2025 : 11% Harris, 31 March 2025 : 7% Elabe, 4 April 2025 : 8.9% Ifop, 18 April 2025 : 9.7% Odoxa, 24 April 2025 : 9.8% Ifop, 30 April 2025 : 9% Harris, 19 May 2025 : 14.5% Ifop, 20 May 2025 : 16% Ifop, 25 September 2025 : 11% Cluster17, 1 October 2025 : 12.9% Harris, 7 October 2025 : 10.5% Elabe, 31 October 2025 : 8.2% Odoxa, 20 November 2025 : 9% Verian, 20 November 2025 : 7.5% Ifop, 27 February 2026 : 12.2% Harris, 22 March 2026 : 8.5% Odoxa, 26 March 2026 : 8% Elabe, 27 March 2026 : 8.7% Harris, 30 April 2026 : 11% Odoxa, 21 May 2026 : 9% Harris, 27 May 2026 : 9.6% Ifop, 28 May 2026 : 9.6% Ipsos, 28 May 2026 : 8.8% OpinionWay, 11 June 2026 : 8.7% Ifop, 24 June 2026 : 10.4% Harris, 8 July 2026 : 8% Ifop, 8 July 2026 : 9% OpinionWay, 9 July 2026 : 9.7% Elabe, 10 July 2026 : 9.2% Verian, 10 July 2026 : 7% Cluster17, 24 July 2026 : 9% Harris, 19 August 2026 : 7.6% Ifop, 25 August 2026 : 8.6% Elabe, 28 August 2026 : 7.5% Cluster17, 1 September 2026 : 7.7% Ipsos, 2 September 2026 : 7.8% OpinionWay, 3 September 2026 : 8.7% OpinionWay, 4 September 2026 : 7% Ipsos, 9 September 2026 : 8.3% OpinionWay, 9 September 2026 : 10% Harris, 10 September 2026 : 8.4% OpinionWay, 10 September 2026 : 7% Ifop, 11 September 2026 : 6.5% Cluster17, 16 September 2026 : 8.2% YouGov, 21 September 2026 : 8.2% Harris, 24 September 2026 : 8.8% Ifop, 29 September 2026 : 8.1% Odoxa, 7 October 2026 : 7.8% Harris, 8 October 2026 : 8.4% Ifop, 14 October 2026 : 6.5% OpinionWay, 14 October 2026 : 7.5% Cluster17, 15 October 2026 : 12.2% YouGov, 15 October 2026 : 6.8% Elabe, 16 October 2026 : 7.8% Ifop, 19 October 2026 : 6.2% Harris, 21 October 2026 : 6.2% Cluster17, 22 October 2026 : 8.3% Ipsos, 22 October 2026 : 8.1% OpinionWay, 22 October 2026 : 6%

59 polls since 26 March 2025. All polls

Proposals

Pensions
Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.
Work and purchasing power
Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.
Immigration
A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.
Institutions and security
A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.

Sources: Public Sénat: his constitutional reform ; Europe 1: the outline of his programme ; Journal de l'Agence: his housing proposals.

Chances in our scenarios

ScenarioReaches the run-offWins the election
The current landscape less than 1% less than 1%
The centrist bloc behind Philippe less than 1% less than 1%
The left united behind Glucksmann less than 1% less than 1%
Jordan Bardella instead of Marine Le Pen less than 1% less than 1%

Profile

Experience Name recognition Communication Polls Reach Party machine

What the scores measure

Experience
Offices held, government roles, knowledge of the State
Name recognition
How well known they are to the public
Communication
Media skills, debating, social media presence
Polls
First-round voting intentions in October 2026, and their trend
Reach
Ability to win votes beyond their own camp in the run-off
Party machine
Party strength: activists, elected officials, funding
Compare with another candidate