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Portrait of Éric Zemmour
Reconquête

Far right

Éric Zemmour

President of Reconquête, aged 68

Declared candidate on 17 September 2026

4.5/10

Overall score
15th out of 16

Experience 2
Name recognition 9
Communication 7
Polls 3
Reach 1
Party machine 5

+Strengths

  • Very high name recognition
  • Motivated activist base
  • His identity-focused themes weigh on the debate

−Weaknesses

  • 3 to 5% in the polls, against 7% in 2022
  • Convictions for incitement to hatred
  • Very high rejection, almost no reserve of votes

In the polls

4.1% on average over the last 30 days, +0.4 pt in three months.

0 10 20 30 40 Jul 25 Jan 26 Jul 26 Ifop, 26 March 2025 : 5.2% Harris, 31 March 2025 : 5% Elabe, 4 April 2025 : 3.9% Ifop, 18 April 2025 : 4% Odoxa, 24 April 2025 : 3% Harris, 25 April 2025 : 3% Ifop, 30 April 2025 : 4.5% Harris, 19 May 2025 : 5% Ifop, 20 May 2025 : 3.2% Ifop, 25 September 2025 : 4.5% Cluster17, 1 October 2025 : 5.5% Harris, 7 October 2025 : 6% Elabe, 31 October 2025 : 5.2% Odoxa, 20 November 2025 : 3.2% Verian, 20 November 2025 : 4% Ifop, 27 February 2026 : 4% Harris, 22 March 2026 : 5% Elabe, 27 March 2026 : 3.3% Harris, 30 April 2026 : 5.2% Odoxa, 21 May 2026 : 6% Harris, 27 May 2026 : 5.8% Ifop, 28 May 2026 : 3.7% Ipsos, 28 May 2026 : 4.1% OpinionWay, 11 June 2026 : 3.3% Ifop, 24 June 2026 : 4.4% Harris, 8 July 2026 : 4.2% Ifop, 8 July 2026 : 3.8% OpinionWay, 9 July 2026 : 3.3% Elabe, 10 July 2026 : 3.1% Verian, 10 July 2026 : 3% Cluster17, 24 July 2026 : 4% Harris, 19 August 2026 : 3.6% Ifop, 25 August 2026 : 3.1% Elabe, 28 August 2026 : 4.1% Cluster17, 1 September 2026 : 3.5% Ipsos, 2 September 2026 : 3.1% OpinionWay, 3 September 2026 : 3% OpinionWay, 4 September 2026 : 3% Ipsos, 9 September 2026 : 4.2% OpinionWay, 9 September 2026 : 4% Harris, 10 September 2026 : 5% OpinionWay, 10 September 2026 : 2% Ifop, 11 September 2026 : 4% Cluster17, 16 September 2026 : 3.5% YouGov, 21 September 2026 : 5.5% Harris, 24 September 2026 : 5.2% Ifop, 29 September 2026 : 3.8% Odoxa, 7 October 2026 : 4.5% Harris, 8 October 2026 : 4.6% Ifop, 14 October 2026 : 3% OpinionWay, 14 October 2026 : 4.2% Cluster17, 15 October 2026 : 4.3% YouGov, 15 October 2026 : 3.6% Elabe, 16 October 2026 : 3.3% Ifop, 19 October 2026 : 3.2% Harris, 21 October 2026 : 5.4% Cluster17, 22 October 2026 : 3.8% Ipsos, 22 October 2026 : 4.4% OpinionWay, 22 October 2026 : 4%

59 polls since 26 March 2025. All polls

Proposals

Pensions
Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).
Taxes and spending
Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).
Immigration
“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.
Europe and defence
Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).
Energy and climate
Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).
Institutions and security
Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.

Sources: France-Vote, Éric Zemmour 2027 profile (the 2022 programme remains Reconquête's basis).

Chances in our scenarios

ScenarioReaches the run-offWins the election
The current landscape less than 1% less than 1%
The centrist bloc behind Philippe less than 1% less than 1%
Right and centre united less than 1% less than 1%
The left united behind Glucksmann less than 1% less than 1%
Jordan Bardella instead of Marine Le Pen less than 1% less than 1%

Profile

Experience Name recognition Communication Polls Reach Party machine

What the scores measure

Experience
Offices held, government roles, knowledge of the State
Name recognition
How well known they are to the public
Communication
Media skills, debating, social media presence
Polls
First-round voting intentions in October 2026, and their trend
Reach
Ability to win votes beyond their own camp in the run-off
Party machine
Party strength: activists, elected officials, funding
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