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Portrait of Gabriel Attal
Renaissance

Centre

Gabriel Attal

Secretary-general of Renaissance, former Prime Minister, aged 37

Declared candidate on 22 May 2026

6.8/10

Overall score
5th out of 16

Experience 7
Name recognition 8
Communication 9
Polls 4
Reach 6
Party machine 7

+Strengths

  • Youngest Prime Minister of the Fifth Republic
  • Rises to 12% when Édouard Philippe is not running
  • Excellent debater; controls the Renaissance party machine

−Weaknesses

  • Only about 5% when Philippe is also running
  • Splits the centrist bloc facing the RN
  • Loses to Le Pen in the polls (43 to 46%)

In the polls

9.2% on average over the last 30 days, −2.7 pts in three months.

0 10 20 30 40 Jul 25 Jan 26 Jul 26 Ifop, 26 March 2025 : 20% Elabe, 4 April 2025 : 18% Ifop, 18 April 2025 : 11% Harris, 19 May 2025 : 15% Ifop, 25 September 2025 : 10% Cluster17, 1 October 2025 : 12% Harris, 7 October 2025 : 12% Elabe, 31 October 2025 : 12.5% Odoxa, 20 November 2025 : 11% Ifop, 27 February 2026 : 10.5% Harris, 22 March 2026 : 13% Elabe, 27 March 2026 : 11.5% Harris, 30 April 2026 : 14% Harris, 27 May 2026 : 12.7% Ifop, 28 May 2026 : 14.9% Ipsos, 28 May 2026 : 11.3% OpinionWay, 11 June 2026 : 14% Ifop, 24 June 2026 : 12.7% Harris, 8 July 2026 : 13.3% Ifop, 8 July 2026 : 15% OpinionWay, 9 July 2026 : 11.5% Elabe, 10 July 2026 : 12.2% Verian, 10 July 2026 : 8% Cluster17, 24 July 2026 : 14% Harris, 19 August 2026 : 12.3% Ifop, 25 August 2026 : 12.3% Elabe, 28 August 2026 : 10.3% Cluster17, 1 September 2026 : 13.5% Ipsos, 2 September 2026 : 11.4% OpinionWay, 3 September 2026 : 10% OpinionWay, 4 September 2026 : 7% Ipsos, 9 September 2026 : 10.5% OpinionWay, 9 September 2026 : 11% Harris, 10 September 2026 : 12.3% OpinionWay, 10 September 2026 : 7.7% Ifop, 11 September 2026 : 7% Cluster17, 16 September 2026 : 13.5% YouGov, 21 September 2026 : 10% Harris, 24 September 2026 : 10% Ifop, 29 September 2026 : 11.8% Odoxa, 7 October 2026 : 11% Harris, 8 October 2026 : 9.7% Ifop, 14 October 2026 : 8% OpinionWay, 14 October 2026 : 7.7% Cluster17, 15 October 2026 : 17% YouGov, 15 October 2026 : 7.3% Elabe, 16 October 2026 : 8.2% Ifop, 19 October 2026 : 6.6% Harris, 21 October 2026 : 8.7% Cluster17, 22 October 2026 : 12% Ipsos, 22 October 2026 : 6.8% OpinionWay, 22 October 2026 : 4%

52 polls since 26 March 2025. All polls

Proposals

Pensions
Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power
Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending
No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration
Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.

Sources: Fondation iFRAP comparison tool ; France-Vote, Gabriel Attal 2027 profile.

Chances in our scenarios

ScenarioReaches the run-offWins the election
The current landscape less than 1% less than 1%
The left united behind Glucksmann less than 1% less than 1%
Jordan Bardella instead of Marine Le Pen less than 1% less than 1%

Profile

Experience Name recognition Communication Polls Reach Party machine

What the scores measure

Experience
Offices held, government roles, knowledge of the State
Name recognition
How well known they are to the public
Communication
Media skills, debating, social media presence
Polls
First-round voting intentions in October 2026, and their trend
Reach
Ability to win votes beyond their own camp in the run-off
Party machine
Party strength: activists, elected officials, funding
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