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Renaissance
Centre
Gabriel Attal
Secretary-general of Renaissance, former Prime Minister, aged 37
Declared candidate on 22 May 2026
6.8/10
Overall score
5th out of 16
+Strengths
- Youngest Prime Minister of the Fifth Republic
- Rises to 12% when Édouard Philippe is not running
- Excellent debater; controls the Renaissance party machine
−Weaknesses
- Only about 5% when Philippe is also running
- Splits the centrist bloc facing the RN
- Loses to Le Pen in the polls (43 to 46%)
In the polls
9.2% on average over the last 30 days, −2.7 pts in three months.
52 polls since 26 March 2025. All polls
Proposals
- Pensions
- Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
- Work and purchasing power
- Remove tax on overtime.
- Taxes and spending
- No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
- Immigration
- Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Sources: Fondation iFRAP comparison tool ; France-Vote, Gabriel Attal 2027 profile.
Chances in our scenarios
| Scenario | Reaches the run-off | Wins the election |
|---|---|---|
| The current landscape | less than 1% | less than 1% |
| The left united behind Glucksmann | less than 1% | less than 1% |
| Jordan Bardella instead of Marine Le Pen | less than 1% | less than 1% |
Profile
What the scores measure
- Experience
- Offices held, government roles, knowledge of the State
- Name recognition
- How well known they are to the public
- Communication
- Media skills, debating, social media presence
- Polls
- First-round voting intentions in October 2026, and their trend
- Reach
- Ability to win votes beyond their own camp in the run-off
- Party machine
- Party strength: activists, elected officials, funding