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![Portrait of Raphaël Glucksmann]()
Place Publique and Socialist Party
Left
Raphaël Glucksmann
Member of the European Parliament, aged 46
Chosen by the Socialist primary on 11 October 2026 (66%)
5.8/10
Overall score
7th out of 16
+Strengths
- Won the Socialist primary with 66% of the vote
- Backed by the Socialist Party and Place Publique, the machinery of the centre-left
- 13.8% in the 2024 European elections, the leading left-wing list
−Weaknesses
- Around 10 to 11% in the first round, behind Mélenchon
- Loses to Le Pen in the polls (41 to 45%)
- No government or executive experience
In the polls
12.8% on average over the last 30 days, +1.8 pt in three months.
57 polls since 26 March 2025. All polls
Proposals
- Pensions
- Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
- Work and purchasing power
- Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
- Taxes and spending
- The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
- Immigration
- Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
- Europe and defence
- Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
- Energy and climate
- Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.
Sources: France-Vote, Raphaël Glucksmann 2027 profile ; His Socialist primary proposals, listed by voter2027.fr.
Chances in our scenarios
| Scenario | Reaches the run-off | Wins the election |
|---|---|---|
| The current landscape | 11% | 2% |
| The centrist bloc behind Philippe | 9% | 2% |
| Right and centre united | 1% | less than 1% |
| The left united behind Glucksmann | 26% | 4% |
| Jordan Bardella instead of Marine Le Pen | 11% | 2% |
Profile
What the scores measure
- Experience
- Offices held, government roles, knowledge of the State
- Name recognition
- How well known they are to the public
- Communication
- Media skills, debating, social media presence
- Polls
- First-round voting intentions in October 2026, and their trend
- Reach
- Ability to win votes beyond their own camp in the run-off
- Party machine
- Party strength: activists, elected officials, funding