Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Bruno Retailleau 67.9% 32.1% Fabien Roussel

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Bruno Retailleau	Fabien Roussel
Pensions	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.
Work and purchasing power	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.	Regulated reception and republican integration.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.
Institutions and security	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.	No specific proposal known.

Bruno RetailleauFabien Roussel