Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Bruno Retailleau 70.5% 29.5% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Bruno Retailleau	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

Bruno RetailleauJean-Luc Mélenchon