Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Bruno Retailleau 63.7% 36.3% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Bruno Retailleau	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Announces a new pension reform, with no details published so far.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	Cut regulations for businesses; build a million extra homes in five years by scrapping the “zero net land take” target.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	A referendum on immigration, prepared by a revision of the Constitution.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.
Institutions and security	A constitutional revision put to a referendum from autumn 2027, with a “Charter of republican order”; a state of emergency in neighbourhoods hit by drug trafficking.	No specific proposal known.

Bruno RetailleauRaphaël Glucksmann