Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Édouard Philippe 61.1% 38.9% Gabriel Attal

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Édouard Philippe	Gabriel Attal
Pensions	Gradually raise the legal retirement age to 65 and the contribution period to 45 years, with a third of employees exempted.	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.
Work and purchasing power	Exempt two hours of overtime a week from contributions (about €1,000 more a year on the minimum wage); cap unemployment benefits at 12 months for under-50s.	Remove tax on overtime.
Taxes and spending	Replace only one civil servant in three who retire; a single family allowance of €350 a month from the first child; some twenty ordinances from July 2027.	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.
Immigration	Halve legal immigration (well under 200,000 residence permits a year); a European list of safe countries whose nationals could no longer claim asylum.	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.
Europe and defence	Reaffirmed support for Ukraine.	No specific proposal known.
Energy and climate	A single climate-adaptation fund of €2 billion a year.	No specific proposal known.

Édouard PhilippeGabriel Attal