Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Éric Zemmour 62.7% 37.3% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Éric Zemmour	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Legal retirement age of 64 (2022 programme).	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	No specific proposal known.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	Cut production taxes and reject any wealth tax (2022 programme).	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	“Zero immigration” and “remigration”: an end to birthright citizenship and family reunification, very limited asylum, expulsion of foreign offenders and jobless foreigners.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO's integrated command (2022 programme).	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	Relaunch nuclear power and stop wind power (2022 programme).	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	Criminal majority at 16 and mandatory minimum sentences.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

Éric ZemmourJean-Luc Mélenchon