Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Fabien Roussel 40.3% 59.7% Édouard Philippe

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Fabien Roussel	Édouard Philippe
Pensions	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.	Gradually raise the legal retirement age to 65 and the contribution period to 45 years, with a third of employees exempted.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.	Exempt two hours of overtime a week from contributions (about €1,000 more a year on the minimum wage); cap unemployment benefits at 12 months for under-50s.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	Replace only one civil servant in three who retire; a single family allowance of €350 a month from the first child; some twenty ordinances from July 2027.
Immigration	Regulated reception and republican integration.	Halve legal immigration (well under 200,000 residence permits a year); a European list of safe countries whose nationals could no longer claim asylum.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.	Reaffirmed support for Ukraine.
Energy and climate	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.	A single climate-adaptation fund of €2 billion a year.

Fabien RousselÉdouard Philippe