Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Fabien Roussel 52.2% 47.8% Marine Tondelier

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Fabien Roussel	Marine Tondelier
Pensions	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.
Immigration	Regulated reception and republican integration.	No specific proposal known.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.
Energy and climate	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.

Fabien RousselMarine Tondelier