Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Fabien Roussel 43.4% 56.6% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Fabien Roussel	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	No specific proposal known.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	Regulated reception and republican integration.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.

Fabien RousselRaphaël Glucksmann