Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Gabriel Attal 61.6% 38.4% Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Gabriel Attal	Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Pensions	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.
Work and purchasing power	Remove tax on overtime.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.
Taxes and spending	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.
Immigration	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.
Institutions and security	No specific proposal known.	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.

Gabriel AttalJean-Luc Mélenchon