Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Gabriel Attal 55.2% 44.8% Marine Tondelier

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Gabriel Attal	Marine Tondelier
Pensions	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.	Undo the 2023 reform: back to 62, with early retirement for arduous jobs.
Work and purchasing power	Remove tax on overtime.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net.
Taxes and spending	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.	A “climate wealth tax” on the most polluting large fortunes.
Immigration	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.	No specific proposal known.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Strengthen the European Green Deal, extend the carbon border tax, leave free-trade deals that encourage environmental dumping.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewables, with an investment plan of about €100 billion a year.

Gabriel AttalMarine Tondelier