Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Gabriel Attal 49.3% 50.7% Raphaël Glucksmann

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Gabriel Attal	Raphaël Glucksmann
Pensions	Scrap the legal retirement age in favour of the contribution period alone, with penalties and bonuses, and add a funded component.	Repeal the 2023 reform and give a council run mainly by the social partners the task of steering pensions.
Work and purchasing power	Remove tax on overtime.	Rebalance taxation, which weighs more on work than on capital and inheritance, so that work pays more.
Taxes and spending	No new wealth tax; a targeted tax cut for the middle classes; a balanced-budget rule written into the Constitution.	The Zucman tax: a 2% minimum tax on fortunes above €100 million; tax very large inheritances.
Immigration	Labour-immigration quotas voted each year by Parliament, a Canadian-style points system, tighter family reunification.	Legal routes for labour immigration, asylum claims processed within six months, repeal of the 2024 immigration law.
Europe and defence	No specific proposal known.	Autonomous European defence funded by €500 billion of joint borrowing; more military aid to Ukraine; a more federal Europe.
Energy and climate	No specific proposal known.	Consolidate the nuclear fleet and build new reactors, with electricity prices based on French production costs.

Gabriel AttalRaphaël Glucksmann