Head to head

Pick two contenders to compare their scores and their run-off match-up.

If they met in the run-off

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 55.9% 44.1% Fabien Roussel

Model projection based on the latest first-round polls and on vote transfers calibrated on run-off polls. See the method.

Theme	Jean-Luc Mélenchon	Fabien Roussel
Pensions	Repeal the 2023 reform and restore retirement at 60 after 40 years of contributions.	Retirement at 60 on a full pension and a 32-hour week with no loss of pay.
Work and purchasing power	A minimum wage of €1,600 net, wages indexed to inflation, a price freeze on basic necessities.	A minimum wage of €1,600 net and a general pay rise; VAT on energy cut to 5.5%.
Taxes and spending	Restore a strengthened wealth tax, move to 14 income-tax brackets and cap inheritances.	No specific proposal known.
Immigration	Regularise undocumented workers and repeal the 2024 immigration law.	Regulated reception and republican integration.
Europe and defence	Non-alignment and leaving NATO's integrated command; disobey European treaties that would block the programme.	Leave NATO, a policy of peace and disarmament, strict control of arms sales.
Energy and climate	Gradual exit from nuclear power and 100% renewable energy, through ecological planning.	Public nuclear power: renationalise EDF and Engie, build at least six EPR reactors, cut electricity prices by up to 30%.
Institutions and security	A Sixth Republic drafted by a constituent assembly and put to a referendum; a citizens' initiative referendum.	No specific proposal known.

Jean-Luc MélenchonFabien Roussel